Jul 01, 2009

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Key Strategy Issues Vol.1-281

Title list of Key Strategy Issues Vol.1 - Vol. 281

Below is the list of   Key Strategy Issues Vol.1 - Vol. 281.
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2009/06/29  281

                                         

Is now the time to buy or sell long-term government   bonds ? The U.S. will not repeat Japan's "lost decade"

2009/04/17  280

 

The animalistic spirit is back. Be prepared for a sharp   rise in stock prices. The pessimists have been proven wrong.

2009/02/18  279

 

The Scenario for a Market Revival in 2009

2009/02/02  278

 

How should we view the dollar system ?- All questions   lead to the dollar

2008/11/20  277

 

The 2009 scenario for the return from depression fears

2008/07/02  276

 

Japan must create a means of valuing the Earth

2008/05/30  275

 

The Next Economic Trend is Global Coupling Centered on   China

2008/05/22  274

 

No Change in “Golden Scenario” – Nikkei Average Headed for ¥20,000

2008/01/31  273

 

The end of the negative cycle of fear – Looking ahead to a V-shaped recovery

2007/12/12  272

 

Post-Subprime Loan Crisis Economic and Market Outlook   for 2008 - A rare opportunity to buy Japanese stocks at very low prices

2007/08/31  271

 

Consequences of the subprime debacle     A shift of funds from credit instruments   to equities

2007/06/05  270

 

S&P500 record highs& US savings deficit fallacy

2007/05/25  269

 

Japan's quadruple lows

2007/05/11  268

 

Global stock boom and questions on Japan's lag

2007/03/06  267

 

Market decline merely a speculative sell-off

2007/01/04  266

 

Knightian uncertainty and Japan share-price revolution   in 2007

2007/12/05  265

 

2007 could see "" golden scenario" come   to fruition

2006/10/26  264

 

Fallacy of US as a debtor nation

2006/10/04  263

 

Abe's to-do list for the economy

2006/08/23  262

 

Economic Theories: No one has it right

2006/06/27  261

 

Why have US stopgap measures been successful ?

2006/06/15  260

 

Share price softness may be acting as automatic   stabilizer

2006/05/17  259

 

Arguments for lower dollar flawed in our view

2006/04/14  special

 

Exporters merit attention; recommending 32 stocks

2006/04/14  258

 

Focus on select export companies

2006/04/03  257

 

Global growth back as a FY06 investment theme

2006/03/17  256

 

Outlook for the economy and the markets in 2006

2006/03/08  255

 

Possible scenarios after US rate hikes end

2005/12/21  254

 

"Golden scenario" for stock market in 2006

2005/12/08  253

 

Markets to test golden scenario

2005/11/17  252

 

Interest rate arbitrage revives

2005/10/14  251

 

Optimized asset allocatio

2005/10/06  250

 

Share price revolution now underway

2005/08/03  249

 

China's economy: Headed for a major adjustment

2005/06/29  248

 

A new round of ' Japan leads, others follow' analysis; bubbles in the equity, real estate, and bond markets are a global trend

2005/06/03  247

 

China's economy: Headed for a major adjustment

2005/05/18  246

 

US equity valuations and risk premiums: The end of the   speculative boom

2005/04/22  245

 

New economic reality with depressed share prices

2005/03/23  244

 

The drunken euphoria of the US economy: Start preparing   for steep rises in interest rates

2005/02/10  243

 

Financial, rather than real, economy likely to offer   the better chances

2005/01/12  242

 

Japan's low interest rates in a new light: Investment   opportunities under deflationary equilibrium

2004/12/21  241

 

Excess dollar liquidity puts stocks, bonds at odds with   one another in 2004, to remain key theme in 2005

2004/12/02  240

 

Value, not growth, should be criterion for buying   Japanese stocks in 2005

2004/11/10  239

 

Will the 'empire premium' stick?

2004/10/27  238

 

Investor's fear removal of moral hazard insurance not Kerry victory

2004/10/26  237

 

The nature of Japan's corporate groups hampers profit   assessment, transparency

2004/10/25  236

 

Japanese stocks' curious weakness could be a precursor   of a worldwide bear market

2004/09/16  235

 

End of technical rebound primes global stock markets   for descent

2004/08/23  234

 

Demand slows while production levels remain high : the   risk of unintended inventory growth

2004/08/16  233

 

Likelihood of 2005 global recession mounting: short   stocks, go long bonds

2004/07/09  232

 

Accepting low growth paradigm only option: 2H stock   slide unavoidable as US recovery stumbles

2004/07/05  231

 

End of global liquidity driven   market and relative advantages of Japanese equities

2004/06/23  230

 

Giddy with FY03 corporate profit jump investors overlook risk of decline in   FY04

2004/06/14  229

 

Oil forces Greenspan’s hand: Flexibility of monetary   tightening now lost

2004/05/20  228

 

Bursting of US Chinese economic bubbles would cause global recession,   end Japanese recovery

2004/05/10  227

 

Global stock let down on all fronts   Greenspan's lack of patience likely to deal deathblow

2004/04/19  226

 

Global stock markets gradually forming topping   formation

2004/03/05  225

 

Changing our outlook Japanese   equity may have embarked on secular uptrend .

2004/02/24  224

 

Stock market rally losing momentum Best news already behind us

2004/02/06  223

 

High US stock prices likely to be hit by distortions in   cash flow

2004/01/28  222

 

When will US stocks peak? Focus on similarities with   Japan in 1996

2003/12/19  221

 

lnvestment strategy of 2004: Prepare for end of bear   market rally and drop in global stock prices

2003/12/09  220

 

US financial system signaling credit cycle end: early   warning of equity price collapse in 2004

2003/11/18  219

 

Have Japanese stocks peaked

2003/11/05  218

 

Stock market has begun to look beyond current rally

2003/10/17  217

 

Investors becoming increasingly cautious as they look   ahead at US economy after tax cuts

2003/10/06  216

 

Limitations of any Japan-US currency understanding;   bottleneck on demand side of real economy

2003/09/19  215

 

Ten possible surprises in 4Q 2003; investors ignoring   too many negative factors

2003/09/05  214

 

Bottleneck for bull market: US consumers' wallets may   be empty for Christmas shopping season

2003/08/05  213

 

Curtain falls on 'seaside resort market'

2003/07/30  212

 

lnvestment strategy at a significant turning point

2003/06/25  211

 

Bond price plunge signals tidal change;   best-of-two-words market at an end

2003/06/17  210

 

Liquidity-driven global markets have low ceiling

2003/05/30  209

 

Implications of shift in US currency policy

2003/05/20  208

 

Resona   nationalization means stock bottom now realistic, Takenaka reform   alive and well

2003/05/16  207

 

Bond socialism' versus 'stock capitalism Can   stocks break free of unfair competition  

2003/05/08  206

 

We Shelve "deflationary equilibrium" scenario   in favor of "creative   destruction"

2003/04/23  205

 

Market out of touch with logic: Only reform can arrest   share price decline

2003/04/11  204

 

Gathering clouds: Secular bottom scenario no longer   realistic; Nikkei recovery to 10,000 increasingly elusive

2003/03/31  203

 

Is this Japan? Reform setbacks could delay the market's bottom

2003/03/13  202

 

Conditions still not right for a market bottom

2003/03/10  201

 

Can corporate profits be protected in a   deflationary economy?

2003/02/25  200

 

Global stock markets present disparate picture:   Japan favoured but   conditional on bank reform

2003/02/14  199

 

The road ahead after lnflation Plateau and Bubble   Mountains; Japanese stocks' pluses

2003/01/31  198

 

Depression and deflationary equilibrium: Special nature   of Japan's crisis

2003/01/15  197

 

Ricardian specialization does not argue for a weak yen

2003/01/09  196

 

2003 nightmare scenario: Banking sector reform could   end up on the backburner

2003/01/08  195

 

Deflationary equilibrium supported by a corporate   earnings bottom is more likely than depression

2002/12/17  194

 

Market outlook for 2003: mild recovery under   deflationary equilibrium

2002/12/16  193

 

Analysis of Japanese product competitiveness with Asia

2002/11/29  192

 

Higher share prices amid deflation? Yes, from 2003

2002/11/18  191

 

Conditions for a bottoming of stock prices: modest   expectations and bank reform

2002/11/05  190

 

Coming era of global deflation and stock valuation;   Upside for Japanese equities in 2003

2002/10/29  189

 

Banking reform and share prices: The foreigners'   perspective(from the APEC Summit in Los Cabos)

2002/10/22  188

 

Investing in Japan equities during deflation: focus on   companies with steady cash flow

2002/10/15  187

 

Japanese stocks looking increasingly cheap: stock   valuation in Japan-led era of deflation

2002/10/07  186

 

Increasing polarization into two-tier market

2002/10/01  185

 

A solution to the bad debt problem may be at hand

2002/09/26  184

 

Amid growing risk of global recession BOJ   initiative sets stage for Japan revival

2002/09/18  183

 

Standstill turns into plunge: Start of autumn market   reflects investors' fears of worldwide recession

2002/09/02  182

 

Asia holds key to corporate profits: Contacting   Europe/US   expanding Asia

2002/08/16  181

 

The US and Japan which will fall first?

2002/08/07  180

 

Paradigm shift could accompany 2003 global   recession Changing   global capital flow benefits Japanese equities

2002/07/26  179

 

Dangerous portfolios

2002/07/24  178

 

With a worldwide recession looking possible, global   money likely to flow into Japanese equities

2002/07/03  177

 

Japan frontrunner or laggard? Argument   for reform likely to be shattered by worldwide crisis

2002/06/21  176

 

What had to happen is happening; market's message loud   and clear: Prepare for worst

2002/06/17  175

 

Critical analysis of bubble economy How did   US bubble form and burst?

2002/05/30  174

 

Flow of global funds is changing   has the strong dollar since 1995 come to an end

2002/05/28  173

 

Is the rationale behind the rise in stock prices   essentially and excess liquidity-driven money game?

2002/05/13  172

 

Cyclical theory is losing its significance

2002/04/26  171

 

Impatient yen sellers beware!

2002/05/08  170

 

A capitalist revolution: a plan for saving the Japanese   economy; presentation to the 21st Century Policy Forum

2002/04/11  169

 

With deflation, and not inflation, global excess   liquidity likely to flow into bonds, not stocks

2002/03/29  168

 

Deflation remains market focus: economy's breather not   recovery, drives market

2002/03/11  167

 

Feared March crisis averted   bear market rally likely from March to June

2002/02/21  166

 

Expectations of cyclical recovery on verge of   collapse   - economy probably headed for March crisis                                               

2002/02/08  165

 

Merciless rationality of resurgent capitalism spells   end of free-lunch economics

2002/01/30  164

 

Deflationary policy in times of reform   Koizumi needs to change deflationary policies

2002/01/23  163

 

Global investors' perception of the Japanese market

2001/12/21  162

 

Corporate profit set to fall again in FY2002

2001/12/12  161

 

Investment strategy ahead of likely economic crisis in   2002

2001/12/04  160

 

Diehard Japan - Premature expectations of the yen's   demise could be risky

2001/11/28  159

 

Bank nationalization increasingly likely - Koizumi   warming to partial nationalization

2001/11/22  158

 

Prime minister could pull off coup with his "top-down,   all-or-nothing" attitude

2001/11/14  157

 

Is Koizumi a Thatcher, a Gorbachev or neither? JH reform to be litmus test

2001/10/30  156

 

From cyclical to distributional arguments - lower   labour share crucial in Japan and US

2001/10/23  155

 

No rerun in Japan of excess liquidity-driven market to   escape from doldrums

2001/10/18  154

 

US economy at historic turning point - Greenspan losing   his magic

2001/10/12  153

 

A welcome growing likelihood of bank nationalization

2001/09/27  152

 

Crisis of reform requires immediate drastic action on   bank nationalization and inflation

2001/09/17  151

 

Terrorist attacks and financial crisis overawe markets

2001/09/12  150

 

Life with the Nikkei below 10,000

2001/09/04  149

 

Japan needs inflation...and higher interest rates

2001/08/28  148

 

Three scenarios for the global economy following the IT   bubble

2001/08/16  147

 

Past policy of propping up weak companies now coming   home to roost

2001/08/14  146

 

Restructuring: revival and survival - another   structural reform with nothing sacrosanct

2001/07/24  145

 

Unconventional steps required to head off serious   worldwide recession

2001/07/11  144

 

Koizumi reform and wrong policy mix

2001/07/02  143

 

Japan's bad debt problem threatens US economy

2001/06/28  142

 

Our verdict on Koizumi's strict reform course

2001/06/08  141

 

Mr. Koizumi's mission under the risk of depression

2001/06/04  140

 

Corporate earnings deteriorating quickly

2001/05/30  139

 

Cyclical rebound unlikely: Deflationary pressure to   increase under Koizumi reform course

2001/05/15  138

 

Koizumi reform course to accelerate deflation; our   scenario: yen, bonds to firm, stocks to drop

2001/04/25  137

 

Cyclical rebound or creative destruction? - Reform   drive likely to gain speed under a Koizumi cabinet

2001/04/18  136

 

Be prepared for personal asset losses - could happen   for third time in modern Japan

2001/04/12  135

 

Secular stock bottom possible in FY 3/02 - Conditions:   financial reform and reflation

2001/04/03  134

 

No rerun of spring 1999 rebound in stock prices

2001/03/22  133

 

Outlook for the global economy and stock markets

2001/03/13  132

 

Is America's bubble headed for a Japan-style rupture?

2001/03/02  131

 

Japan's unique deflation and stock prices

2001/02/15  130

 

Recession to trigger exodus from old-yen assets

2001/02/01  129

 

Corporate governance reverting power to shareholders

2001/01/22  128

 

Revitalization of banking sector would give stocks a   boost

2001/01/11  127

 

US stocks at critical juncture, Japan calm due to lack   of action?

2000/12/20  126

 

Creative destruction seen emerging in 2001

2000/12/19  125

 

History is rewritten by the victors: bad Clinton legacy

2000/12/07  124

 

Lindsay's speech and LDP's shift to reform policy

2000/12/05  123

 

Financial instability to spring from declining stock   prices

2000/11/15  122

  

Greenspan mythology undermining its own effectiveness

2000/11/02  121

 

Bogus economic statistics and accounting shenanigans

2000/10/17  120

  

Stock-driven economic alchemy fails

2000/09/26  119

 

Mini-oil shock deals stocks a l-2-3 punch

2000/09/13  118

 

Stock market dead end imperils US soft landing

2000/09/04  117

 

Overlooked limits of financial stability

2000/08/15  116

 

Exports to Asia less favorable

2000/07/28  115

 

Twenty-month economic watershed ahead

2000/07/19  114

 

Logical policies to reignite financial instability

2000/07/07  113

 

The illusion of an lT-driven recovery

2000/07/06  112

 

Long-term factors weigh on share price levels

2000/06/09  111

 

Recovery hinges on continuing lT boom

2000/05/17  110

 

SP/TOPIX150 sector analysis

2000/05/11  109

 

Harder landing in US

2000/04/28  108

 

G7 makes new investment framework clearer

2000/04/14  107

 

Doubts about old economy rally

2000/03/23  106

 

Pitfalls of sustained recovery scenario/Tokyo Market   reaches watershed

2000/03/02  105

 

US slowdown to hinder Japan recovery

2000/02/22  104

 

Ephemeral US market strength imperiled

2000/02/16  103

 

Our strategy and European investors

1999/12/28  102

 

"Creative destruction" in 2000

1999/12/21  101

 

After the tech rally   re-examining value stocks

1999/12/10  100

 

Justifying excessive valuations

1999/12/02   99

 

Forex and tech likely to cool sentiment

1999/11/30   98

 

Unwinding of cross-shareholdings accelerates

1999/11/16   97

 

Indian summer for stocks, economy

1999/11/02   96

 

The way out of financial socialism

1999/10/18   95

 

End of liquidity driven market in sight

1999/10/13   94

 

New York market trouble could spread to Tokyo

1999/09/22   93

 

Little likelihood of sustainable earnings recover

1999/09/20   92

 

High yen likely to invite creative destruction  

1999/09/07   91

 

Equity bubble posing increasing risks

1999/08/16   90

 

Excessive Japanese savings again a problem

1999/07/29   89

 

Turnaround in forex-market sentiment

1999/07/06   88

 

Financial strategies behind US equity bubble

1999/06/28   87

 

Fed focuses on overheated consumption equities

1999/06/17  86

 

Logic behind weak equities and strong yen

1999/06/07   85

 

Shift to defensive portfolio

1999/05/25   84

 

Focus shifting back from liquidity

1999/05/17   83

 

Risks entailed by two huge deficits

1999/05/06   82

 

Risks inherent in liquidity-driven market

1999/04/19   81

 

No obvious end to excess liquidity

1999/03/31   80

 

Increasing risk of global deflation

1999/03/24   79

 

Rally dependent on excessive global liquidity

1999/03/12   78

 

Expectations of inflationary policy misplaced

1999/03/02   77

 

Increasing risk of competitive currency devaluations

1999/02/22   76

 

Excessive expectations of inflationary policy

1999/02/15   75

 

Financia indicators point to deepening crisis

1999/02/05   74

 

Unwarranted optimism on supply-demand

1999/01/29   73

 

Authorities regress to ”"denial " phase

1999/01/28   72

 

Strong yen exacerbates Japan's problems

1999/01/13   71

 

Strong yen exacerbates economic crisis in Japan

1998/12/24   70

 

Although painful high yen could trigger reform

1998/12/08   69

 

Financial socialism versus capitalism

1998/12/04   68

 

World financial crisis and Japan's economy

1998/11/19   67

 

Japan lags reforms pursued by rest of Asia

1998/11/11   66

 

Earnings plunge, critical loss of confidence

1998/10/29   65

 

Building a firewall around Japanese economy

1998/10/06   64

 

The equity market during economic crisis

1998/09/29   63

 

Saving private Japanese banks

1998/09/22   62

 

Strong dollar positive for world economy in long term

1998/09/07   61

 

1990s emerging-market boom ends in Russia

1998/09/02   60

 

Defensive strategy recommended

1998/08/24   59

 

From poor to rich polarizing the world economy

1998/08/05   58

 

Danger of a 2000 recession

1998/08/07   57

 

Restructuring of industry the key to recovery

1998/08/04   56

 

Economy approaching historical turning point

1998/07/22   55

 

Destruction of old order or long-term decline

1998/07/01   54

 

US as anchor of world economy  

1998/06/29   53

 

Sumitomo Trust/LTCB merger part of easy solution

1998/06/24   52

  

Japan-China Politics embroil US

1998/06/17   51

 

BoJ hostage to moral hazard

1998/06/15   50

 

Japanese banking system failing

1998/06/08   49

 

Currency reserves offer little protection for van

1998/05/22   48

 

Risks of earnings collapse, deflationary spiral

1998/05/12   47

 

Market demands decisive policy action

1998/05/04   46

 

G7,1MF focus on Japan crisis

1998/04/20   45

 

Japan lags in tackling economic crisis

1998/04/14   44

 

Government intervention shifts to forex

1998/04/07   43

 

No recovery in Asian growth yet growth yet

1998/03/26   42

 

Forex liberalization to release flood of funds

1998/03/19   41

 

Sharp market downturn in Apr-Jun

1998/03/03   40

 

Tax cut would boost activity promote   structural reform

1998/02/26   39

 

Large-company changes could boost OTC market

1998/02/25   38

 

G7 heralds renewed international friction

1998/02/09   37

 

Taxpayers and BOJ shoulder cost of bad loans

1998/02/06   36

 

Market direction highly policy dependent

1998/01/19   35

 

Sizeable fiscal stimulus package likely

1997/01/12   34

 

Asian confidence crisis

1997/12/19   33

 

Jaden must face risk of full-scale depression

1997/12/17   32

 

Hashimoto shoots his last arrow

1997/12/11   31

 

Asia paying the cost of over investment

1997/11/27   30

 

Emergency BOJ loans balloon as crisis deepens

1997/11/19   29

 

Little help likely from policy

1997/11/14   28

 

Japan likely to be sold in third phase of Asian crisis

1997/11/13   27

 

Current conditions similar to late 1920s

1997/10/30   26

 

Japan could be sucked into Asian currency crisis

1997/10/24   25

 

Long-term portfolio of quality companies

1997/10/20   24

 

Pressure building for eleventh-hour pump-priming

1997/10/09   23

 

September Tankan fuels fears of recession

1997/10/09   22

 

October focus: small-and medium-cap stocks

1997/10/01   21

 

Japan the focus of Hong Kong G7 meeting

1997/09/19   20

 

Doubts over economic growth in Asia

1997/09/05   19

 

Japan: a financial anomaly

1997/08/28   18

 

Corrections in New York markets only temporary

1997/08/26   17

 

Time to abandon wishful thinking

1997/08/19   16

 

Credit crunch despite ultra-loose monetary policy

1997/08/12   15

 

1997 second half projections: Economic sluggishness,   falling share prices, a weaker yen and low interest

1997/08/04   14

 

Currencvt turmoil likely to slow Asian growth and   result in correction of overvaluation

1997/07/29   13

 

Corporate earnings threatened by twin specters of   declining sales growth and falling profitability

1997/07/23   12

 

Risks of yen appreciation remains but the   currency likely to weaken over the long term

1997/07/03   11

 

The best is over

1997/06/24   10

 

lnvestment strategies for the Big Bang era

1997/06/13    9

  

The exchange rate is an indicator, not an instrument

1997/06/05    8

 

The impact of stock options

1997/05/29    7

  

Stock market returns to reality

1997/05/26    6

  

Thai currency crisis and Japan

1997/05/13    5

  

Rallies by yen and equities unsustainable

1997/05/02    4

  

Further downward pressure on yen

1997/04/25    3

 

Too early for value plays

1997/04/21    2

 

Tokyo Big Bang begins

1997/04/09    1

 

Low rates incompatible with stable currency

1997/02/28    -

 

Still too early to call the corner - Risk of a weaker yen looms large -

1997/02/10    -

 

G7 declaration unlikely ri reverse dollar's course -G7   bereft of means to implement stated policy-

1997/02/03    -

 

Underlying the fall in share prices & currency

1997/01/24    -

 

Market turmoil demands change in the poliy mix

 

 

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